\begin{frame}{Oil and Gas Production: Econometric Model } \begin{block}{Estimated model} \begin{equation} Q_{O,b,t}=\beta_{1} Q_{O,b,t-1}+\beta_{2} P_{WTI,t-1}+\beta_{3} P_{HH,t-1}+\beta_{4}\theta_{t}+\gamma_{t,b}+\epsilon_{b,t} \end{equation} \end{block} Where \(Q_{O,b,t}\) is the net present oil produced in a basin state pair b, at time t, \(P_{WTI}\) is the West Texas Intermediate futures price, \(P_{HH}\) is the futures price of the Henry Hub spot market, \(\theta_{t}\) is a month dummy, and \(\gamma_{b,t}\) is a variable that represents the amount of monetary damage from natural disasters.\footnote{(Gilbert and Gavin, 2020)}\newline \textbf{Three-stage least squares is used with instruments of:} \begin{enumerate} \item{Oil refinery shocks} \item{Natural gas storage shocks} \item{Regional population weighted cooling and heating degree days} \item{Sum of the standard deviation of each instrument over the preceding 12 months} \end{enumerate} \end{frame}