diff --git a/LATEX/Chapter_I/Chapter_I.tex b/LATEX/Chapter_I/Chapter_I.tex index 31acccd..667dd22 100644 --- a/LATEX/Chapter_I/Chapter_I.tex +++ b/LATEX/Chapter_I/Chapter_I.tex @@ -32,15 +32,11 @@ \subsection{Background} \begin{frame}{Subdistrict 1 background: formation and policy} Subdistrict 1 is granted authority through the larger Rio Grande Water Conservation District (RGWCD) and was formed in 2006. - \begin{itemize} - \onslide<2->{\item{Majority vote by farms required for formation}} - \onslide<3->{\item{Majority vote based on land owned}} - \onslide<4->{\item{Authority to asses fees on water and land}} - \onslide<5->{\item{Pumping fee of \$45 per acre-foot in 2011}} - \onslide<6->{\item{Pumping fee raised to \$75 in 2012, \$90 in 2019, \$150 in 2020}} - \onslide<7->{\item{The fee lowered water use by 33\% \citep{smith2017}}} - \onslide<8->{\item{Fees fund administration, conservation, and augmentation}} + \onslide<2->{\item{Majority vote by farms required for formation}} + \onslide<3->{\item{Pumping fee in 2011}} + \onslide<4->{\item{The fee lowered water use by 33\% \citep{smith2017}}} + \onslide<5->{\item{Fees fund administration, conservation, and augmentation}} \end{itemize} \end{frame} @@ -100,11 +96,10 @@ \begin{columns} \begin{column}{0.57\textwidth} \begin{itemize} - \onslide<2->{\item{Agriculture began as early as 1630 \citep{hearne1988}}} - \onslide<3->{\item{350,000 irrigated acres by 1890 \citep{carlson1973}}} - \onslide<4->{\item{Groundwater rights over appropriated in 1900\citep{kuenhold2006}}} - \onslide<5->{\item{2,704 wells by 1940 \citep{cody2015}}} - \onslide<6->{\item{26\% of employment still comes from agricultural \citep{sanluisvalleydevelopmentresourcesgroup2024}}} + \onslide<2->{\item{350,000 irrigated acres by 1890 \citep{carlson1973}}} + \onslide<3->{\item{Groundwater rights over appropriated in 1900 \citep{kuenhold2006}}} + \onslide<4->{\item{2,704 wells by 1940 \citep{cody2015}}} + \onslide<5->{\item{26\% of employment still comes from agricultural \citep{sanluisvalleydevelopmentresourcesgroup2024}}} \end{itemize} \end{column} %%%%% @@ -123,16 +118,15 @@ \begin{columns} \begin{column}{0.6\textwidth} \begin{itemize} - \onslide<2->{\item{Rio Grande Compact Violation}} - \onslide<3->{\item{Rio Grande Water Conservation District (RGWDCD) formed in 1976}} - \onslide<4->{\item{1984 lawsuit prevented new wells protected the status quo \citep{cody2015}}} - \onslide<5->{\item{Court ruling changed well operation rules \citep{coats2003}}} - \onslide<6->{\item{3,000 wells in the South Platte were curtailed. At least 1,000 completely in 2004 \citep{cechWellShutdownSituation2008,loos2022}}} + \onslide<2->{\item{Rio Grande Water Conservation District (RGWDCD) formed in 1976}} + \onslide<3->{\item{1984 lawsuit prevented new wells protected the status quo \citep{cody2015}}} + \onslide<4->{\item{Court ruling changed well operation rules \citep{coats2003}}} + \onslide<5->{\item{3,000 wells in the South Platte were curtailed in 2004.\citep{cechWellShutdownSituation2008,loos2022}}} \end{itemize} \end{column} \begin{column}{0.4\textwidth} - \only<1-4>{\includegraphics[width=\textwidth]{Chapter_I/images/RGWCD_LOGO.jpg}} - \only<5->{\fbox{\includegraphics[width=\textwidth]{Chapter_I/images/GASP_1983.pdf}} + \only<1-3>{\includegraphics[width=\textwidth]{Chapter_I/images/RGWCD_LOGO.jpg}} + \only<4->{\fbox{\includegraphics[width=\textwidth]{Chapter_I/images/GASP_1983.pdf}} \fbox{\includegraphics[width=\textwidth]{Chapter_I/images/GASP_2008.pdf}} \tiny \citep{kryloffCSUGASPRecords2009} } @@ -143,33 +137,8 @@ \begin{frame}{Water level of the San Luis Valley confined aquifer} \includegraphics[width=\textwidth]{Chapter_II/Figures/GW_LEVEL.pdf} \end{frame} -\begin{frame} -\begin{figure}% - \centering - \includegraphics[width=0.8\textwidth]{Chapter_I/images/SLV_Map.png} - \caption{San Luis Valley Parcel Map}\label{MAP}% -\end{figure}% -\end{frame} -%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%% -%\begin{frame}{Crop and Legal Parcel Merger} -% \begin{figure} -% \subfloat[Crop Parcels and Legal Parcels]{ -% \begin{minipage}[c][0.75\width]{ -% 0.45\textwidth} -% \centering -% \includegraphics[width=\textwidth]{Chapter_I/images/pre_proc.png} -% \end{minipage}} -% \hfill -% \subfloat[Intersection of Parcels]{ -% \begin{minipage}[c][0.75\width]{ -% 0.45\textwidth} -% \centering -% \includegraphics[width=\textwidth]{Chapter_I/images/post_proc.png} -% \end{minipage}} -% \caption{Example of parcel overlap procedure}\label{compare} -% \end{figure} -%\end{frame} %%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%% +\subsection{Data} \begin{frame}{Data} \only<1>{ \begin{columns} @@ -213,19 +182,44 @@ \only<2>{ \begin{figure}% \centering - \includegraphics[width=0.8\textwidth]{Chapter_I/images/SLV_Map.png} - \caption{San Luis Valley Parcel Map}\label{MAP}% + \includegraphics[width=0.95\textwidth]{Chapter_I/images/SLV_Map.png} \end{figure}% } - \end{frame} - %%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%% -\begin{frame} - \input{Chapter_I/tables/SBD_CONT_BAL_TBL.tex} +\begin{frame}{Data: weighting and matching } + Generalized boosted machine learning model for propensity score. Used to match and weight records \citep{mccaffrey2016}. + \vfill + \includegraphics[width=\textwidth]{Chapter_I/images/Weighted_Balance.png} \end{frame} +%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%% +\subsection{Econometrics} +\begin{frame}{Econometrics: hedonic model} + \begin{equation*}\label{mainreg} + Y_{i,t}=Sbd_i\cdot(1+\sum_{s=1}^S(\theta_{s(i,t)}))+Ditch_{i}+County_{i}+\tau_{t}+\beta \cdot X_{i,t}+\epsilon_{i,t} + \end{equation*} + \(Y_{i,t}\) is the natural log of the sale price. \(Sbd_i\) is an indicator that a parcel is within a specific subdistrict boundary. + \(Ditch_i\) is a series of indicators if a parcel is using specific ditches in the SLV. + \(S(i,t)\) identifies a shock for the subdistrict of parcel i at time t. + \(\theta_{S(t)}\) is an indicator variable for being post-shock. \(\tau\) is the year fixed effect. + \(X_{i,t}\) is an array of attributes that have coefficients \(\beta\). +\end{frame} +%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%% +%\begin{frame} +% \input{Chapter_I/tables/SBD_CONT_BAL_TBL.tex} +%\end{frame} +%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%% +\begin{frame}{Econometrics: fixed effect model} +\begin{equation*} + \label{fixedreg} + Y_{i,t}=\gamma_i+Sbd_i\cdot\theta_{S(i,t)}+\tau_{t}+\epsilon_{i,t} +\end{equation*} +The parcel fixed effect $\gamma_i$ captures unobserved time invariant attributes of the parcel.$\tau_t$ captures the remaining variation for attributes. +\end{frame} + + %%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%% \begin{frame}[plain] \only<1>{\input{Chapter_I/tables/All_Models.tex}} @@ -270,10 +264,14 @@ %%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%% \begin{frame}{Contemporary Accounts} + \begin{block}{Ralph Curtis, former manager of RGWCD}``They’ve pumped the bottom out of the barrel. And we are trying to get a groundwater management subdistrict up there, and it is like pulling teeth...A lot of people will say, ‘Oh, they will never come in here and regulate wells.’ And Hal Simpson [the State Engineer] has told them several times, ‘If you don’t do something, I’m going to be here'." \tiny\citep{ralphcurtis2005}\end{block} \begin{block}{Ray Wright, President of RGWCD} ``I think it is inevitable that ground in the SLV is going to be fallowed whether by subdistricts or CREP or well regulation or simply running out of adequate supplies of water....I am in a position to understand what we are facing whether it feels like ‘Chicken Little’ or not. [We have] to try to come to some resolution without a wreck." \tiny\citep{heide2005}\end{block} \vfill - \begin{block}{Ralph Curtis, former manager of RGWCD}``They’ve pumped the bottom out of the barrel. And we are trying to get a groundwater management subdistrict up there, and it is like pulling teeth...A lot of people will say, ‘Oh, they will never come in here and regulate wells.’ And Hal Simpson [the State Engineer] has told them several times, ‘If you don’t do something, I’m going to be here'." \tiny\citep{ralphcurtis2005}\end{block} +\end{frame} +\begin{frame}[plain] + \huge + Conclusion \end{frame} %%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%