diff --git a/LATEX/Chapter_III/Chapter_III.tex b/LATEX/Chapter_III/Chapter_III.tex index bd3e7a3..f602c4e 100644 --- a/LATEX/Chapter_III/Chapter_III.tex +++ b/LATEX/Chapter_III/Chapter_III.tex @@ -193,10 +193,120 @@ \end{equation*} +} +\end{frame} +%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%START HERE + +\begin{frame}{Bitcoin mining model} + \only<1>{ + \Large How sensitive are payments to oil companies depending on the price of bitcoin? + } + \only<2->{ + \centering +\begin{figure} + \centering + \resizebox{\textwidth}{!}{ + \begin{tikzpicture}[domain=0:45] + \def\qone{4} + + \draw[very thin,color=gray] (-0.1,-0.1) grid (11.9,6.7); + \draw[- >,thick] (-0.2,0) -- (12,0) node[right] {$Hash$}; + \draw[- >,blue,thick] (5.2,0.6) parabola (9,5.5) node[left] {Supply} ; + \draw[blue,thick] (0,0.3) -- (5.2,0.6) ; + \fill[black] (5.2,0.6) circle (2pt); + \draw (5.2,1) node[above] {Functional shift}; + \draw[red] (6,3.5) node[left] {Total Revenue (\$)}; + \draw[red] (5.5,3) node[left] {\(y=m\cdot x \)}; + \draw[cyan] (8,1) node[above] {MR=m}; + \draw[cyan] (10.5,2) node[above] {\(MR=m\cdot\)(1+x-k)}; + \draw[- >,dashed,thick] (9.4,0) -- (9.4,5.8) node[above] {Capital Constraint (k)}; + \draw[- >,thick] (0,-0.2) -- (0,6.9) node[above] {$\frac{\$}{BTC}$}; + \draw[- >,thick, color=red] (0,0)--(11.5,5.5) ; + \draw[thick, color=cyan] (0,1)--(9.4,1) ; + \draw[- >,thick, color=cyan] (9.4,1)--(11,2.0909) ; + + \end{tikzpicture} +} + \caption{Short-run simplified hash supply}\label{SRS} +\end{figure} + + +} +\end{frame} +%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%% +\begin{frame}{Bitcoin NARDL model} +\only<1>{The proposed model uses the estimations of \citep{shin2014} and can be written in a simple form as: +\begin{equation*} +h_{t}=\sum_{j=1}^{p}\phi_{j}h_{t-j}+\sum_{j=0}^{q}\left(\theta_{t-j}^{+} x_{t-j}^{+}+\theta_{t-j}^{-} x_{t-j}^{-}\right)+\epsilon_{t} +\end{equation*} +With \(h_{t}\) being the hash rate of all miners on day \(t\) and \(x_{t}\) as the total miner reward. A (\(+/-\)) indicating a positive or negative change in reward. \emph{P} is the autoregressive lags on hash, and \emph{q} is the lags on miner reward. The coefficients of the regression are \(\phi\) for lags on hash and \(\theta\) for lags on reward.} +\only<2>{ +\begin{table}[!htbp] \centering + \label{REG} + \resizebox{0.4\textwidth}{!} +{\begin{tabular}{@{\extracolsep{0pt}}lcc} +\\[-1.8ex]\hline +\hline \\[-1.8ex] +% & \multicolumn{2}{c}{\textit{Dependent variable:}} \\ +%\cline{2-3} +\\[-1.8ex] & \multicolumn{2}{c}{hash} \\ +\\[-1.8ex] & Short Run & Long Run\\ +\hline \\[-1.8ex] + \(hash_{t-1}\) &-0.015$^{**}$ & \\ + & (0.01) & \\ + & & \\ + \(Rev^{+}\) & 0.286$^{***}$ & 18.89$^{**}$ \\ + & (0.006) & (8.42) \\ + & & \\ + \(Rev_{t-1}^{+}\) & $-$0.348$^{***}$ & $-$22.95$^{**}$ \\ + & (0.058) & (10.48) \\ + & & \\ + \(Rev_{t-1}^{+}\) & 0.0847$^{**}$ & 5.59$^{**}$ \\ + & (0.038) & (3.27) \\ + & & \\ + \(Rev^{-}\) & 0.331$^{***}$ & 21.88$^{*}$\\ + & (0.038) & (9.62) \\ + & & \\ + \(Rev_{t-1}^{-}\) & $-$0.321$^{***}$ & $-$21.21$^{**}$ \\ + & (0.037) & (9.30) \\ + & & \\ + \(trend\) & $-$0.001 & $-$0.040$^{**}$ \\ + & (0.001) & (0.04) \\ + & & \\ + \(Const\) & 0.454$^{**}$ & \\ + & (0.185) & \\ + & & \\ +\hline + & \bf{Asymmetry} & \\ +\hline \\[-1.8ex] + W-stat & 0.5021178 & 2187.54 $^{***}$ \\ +\hline \\[-1.8ex] +\hline \\[-1.8ex] +Observations & \multicolumn{2}{c}{323}\\ +R$^{2}$ & \multicolumn{2}{c}{0.4104}\\ +Adjusted R$^{2}$ & \multicolumn{2}{c}{0.3977}\\ +Residual Std. Error (df = 323) & \multicolumn{2}{c}{0.0504} \\ +F Statistic (df = 7; 323) & \multicolumn{2}{c}{32.18$^{***}$} \\ +\hline \\[-1.8ex] +\multicolumn{2}{l}{\textit{Note:} $^{*}$p$ < $0.1; $^{**}$p$ < $0.05; $^{***}$p$ < $0.01} \\ +\end{tabular} } +\end{table} +} + +\only<3>{ + A shock of less than 18\% is approximately the same whether the price increase is negative or positive } \end{frame} +\begin{frame}{Results} + \begin{itemize} + \item{Average U.S. oil output increase of \(\frac{\$0.0605\cdot P_{gas}}{BBL}\)} + \item{Response is \emph{not sensitive} to bitcoin price} + \item{Response is sensitive to natural gas price} + \end{itemize} +\end{frame} +%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%% \begin{frame}[plain] \huge Conclusion diff --git a/LATEX/Defense.tex b/LATEX/Defense.tex index e1bfed9..1bf33f1 100644 --- a/LATEX/Defense.tex +++ b/LATEX/Defense.tex @@ -1,6 +1,7 @@ \documentclass{beamer} \usepackage[style=apa,natbib=true]{biblatex} \usepackage{appendixnumberbeamer} +\usepackage{tikz} \usepackage{subfig} \usepackage{cleveref} \usepackage{setspace} @@ -50,7 +51,7 @@ \bibliography{./Supporting/FinalThesis} \setbeamercovered{transparent=25} %Information to be included in the title page: -\title[Resource Management: Thesis Defense]{Natural Resource Managment with Intitutional Shifts} +\title[Resource Management: Thesis Defense]{Natural Resource Management with Institutional Shifts} \subtitle{Case Studies from Agriculture and Bitcoin} \author{Alexander Gebben} \titlegraphic{\includegraphics[width=0.5\textwidth]{Supporting/Mines-Logo-side-stack-CO-school-of-blue.png}} @@ -87,14 +88,14 @@ \printbibliography \end{frame} %%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%APPENDIX -\appendix -\section{A1: COLLECTIVE ACTION TO MANAGE AGRICULTURAL GROUNDWATER: DRIVERS AND OUTCOMES} -\label{Appendix: Chapter I} -\begin{frame} - \centering - \hyperlink{appendix-label}{\beamerbutton{Button}} - Test -\end{frame} +%\appendix +%\section{A1: COLLECTIVE ACTION TO MANAGE AGRICULTURAL GROUNDWATER: DRIVERS AND OUTCOMES} +%\label{Appendix: Chapter I} +%\begin{frame} +% \centering +% \hyperlink{appendix-label}{\beamerbutton{Button}} +% Test +%\end{frame} %%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%% \end{document}