diff --git a/INL_Talk.tex b/INL_Talk.tex index 8eec3c3..386e011 100644 --- a/INL_Talk.tex +++ b/INL_Talk.tex @@ -46,7 +46,7 @@ } % Title info -\title[Economic Impacts of the Nuclear Industry in Wyoming]{Economic Impacts of the Nuclear Industry in Wyoming} +\title[Wyoming Nuclear Industry]{Economic Impacts of the Nuclear Industry in Wyoming} \author{Alexander Gebben} \date{July \(\text{30}^{th}\),2026} @@ -133,7 +133,6 @@ Provide applied economic insight to support decision-making across Wyoming. The %%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%% \begin{frame}{Is Nuclear Energy the Solution?} -Legislator funds further investigation \begin{columns} \begin{column}{0.6\textwidth} \begin{itemize} @@ -246,6 +245,101 @@ Input output model challenges \end{columns} \end{frame} +\section{Electricity and Reactors} +\begin{frame}[plain] + \centering + \huge +Electricity and Reactors +\end{frame} +\begin{frame}{Reactor Economic Modeling} +How many reactors in Wyoming? (Low,medium, high) + +How should spending categories be modeled? + +What will be the local rate of purchases and employment? +\vfill +\begin{columns} + \begin{column}{0.5\textwidth} + \textbf{Modeling Complications} + \begin{itemize} + \item Uncertain growth + \item Regional variation + \item Developing technology + \end{itemize} + \end{column} + \begin{column}{0.5\textwidth} + \textbf{Modeling Advantages} + \begin{itemize} + \item Existing reactor plans + \item Some historic data + \item Available forecasts + \end{itemize} + \end{column} +\end{columns} +\end{frame} +\begin{frame}{Economic Forecast Provides Context} + \centering + \only<1>{\includegraphics[width=0.8\textwidth]{IAEA_North_America_Forecast}} + \only<2>{\includegraphics[width=\textwidth]{EIA_Forecast}} + \only<3>{\includegraphics[width=0.8\textwidth]{EIA_Additions}} +\end{frame} +%%%%%%%%%%%%%% +\begin{frame}{Total Wyoming Reactor Potential} + \begin{itemize} + \item Meta analysis of growth rates + \item Probability of adding a reactor in any year + \item Wyoming has a probability of receiving each US reactor + \item Probability increases with time + \item Low growth 350 MW, middle 700 MW, high 1925 MW by 2050 + \end{itemize} +\end{frame} +%%%%%%%%%%%%%% +\begin{frame}{Input Output Model of Nuclear Growth} + \centering + \textbf{Benchmark reactor model apples NRC reported numbers} +\vfill +\begin{columns} + \begin{column}{0.55\textwidth} + \textbf{Model inputs by year} + \begin{itemize} + \item Construction employment levels + \item Operating employment levels + \begin{itemize} + \item Apply national I-O of nuclear operations to Wyoming + \item Utilized available salary estimates + \end{itemize} + \item Ratio of profits spent in the state adjusted + \item Manual calculation of taxes when possible + \end{itemize} + \end{column} + \begin{column}{0.45\textwidth} + \includegraphics[width=0.8\textwidth]{IMPLAN_Custom} + \end{column} +\end{columns} +\end{frame} +%%%%%%%%%%%% +\begin{frame}{Single Reactor Employment Results} + \centering + \includegraphics[width=\textwidth]{Single_Reactor_Model} +\end{frame} +%%%%%%%%%%%% +\begin{frame}{Single Reactor Tax model} + \centering + \begin{itemize} + \item Direct taxes calculated + \item Induced taxes from I-O model + \end{itemize} + \includegraphics[width=\textwidth]{Single_Reactor_Taxes} +\end{frame} +%%%%%%%%%%%% +\begin{frame}{Accounting for Time with Single Reactor} + \includegraphics[width=\textwidth]{NPV_Table} +\end{frame} +\begin{frame}{Accounting for Time with Multiple Reactors} + \includegraphics[width=\textwidth]{Reactor_Probablity} +\end{frame} + +%%%%%%% \end{document} diff --git a/Images/EIA_Additions.png b/Images/EIA_Additions.png new file mode 100644 index 0000000..db08d36 Binary files /dev/null and b/Images/EIA_Additions.png differ diff --git a/Images/EIA_Forecast.png b/Images/EIA_Forecast.png new file mode 100644 index 0000000..05f464f Binary files /dev/null and b/Images/EIA_Forecast.png differ diff --git a/Images/IAEA_North_America_Forecast.png b/Images/IAEA_North_America_Forecast.png new file mode 100644 index 0000000..a4ca7f3 Binary files /dev/null and b/Images/IAEA_North_America_Forecast.png differ diff --git a/Images/IMPLAN_Custom.png b/Images/IMPLAN_Custom.png new file mode 100644 index 0000000..1f1b425 Binary files /dev/null and b/Images/IMPLAN_Custom.png differ diff --git a/Images/NPV_Table.png b/Images/NPV_Table.png new file mode 100644 index 0000000..130a592 Binary files /dev/null and b/Images/NPV_Table.png differ diff --git a/Images/Reactor_Probablity.png b/Images/Reactor_Probablity.png new file mode 100644 index 0000000..9d18339 Binary files /dev/null and b/Images/Reactor_Probablity.png differ diff --git a/Images/Single_Reactor_Model.png b/Images/Single_Reactor_Model.png new file mode 100644 index 0000000..91215f5 Binary files /dev/null and b/Images/Single_Reactor_Model.png differ diff --git a/Images/Single_Reactor_Taxes.png b/Images/Single_Reactor_Taxes.png new file mode 100644 index 0000000..e36a0d9 Binary files /dev/null and b/Images/Single_Reactor_Taxes.png differ