diff --git a/INL_Talk.tex b/INL_Talk.tex index 105acbf..8f23138 100644 --- a/INL_Talk.tex +++ b/INL_Talk.tex @@ -98,15 +98,15 @@ Provide applied economic insight to support decision-making across Wyoming. The \begin{columns} \begin{column}{0.6\textwidth} \begin{itemize} - \item{Least populated state} - \item{Energy economy} +\onslide<1->\item{Least populated state} + \onslide<2->\item{Energy economy} \begin{enumerate} - \item Most coal - \item Oil and gas - \item Wind - \item Data centers + \onslide<3->\item Most coal + \onslide<4->\item Oil and gas + \onslide<5->\item Wind + \onslide<6->\item Data centers \end{enumerate} - \item Yellowstone and tourism + \onslide<7->\item Yellowstone and tourism \end{itemize} \end{column} \begin{column}{0.4\textwidth} @@ -141,10 +141,10 @@ Provide applied economic insight to support decision-making across Wyoming. The \begin{columns} \begin{column}{0.6\textwidth} \begin{itemize} - \item Fits Wyoming's energy specialization - \item Uranium mining - \item Manufacturing - \item Similar economics as coal + \onslide<1-> \item Fits Wyoming's energy specialization + \onslide<2-> \item Uranium mining + \onslide<3-> \item Manufacturing + \onslide<4-> \item Similar economics as coal \end{itemize} \end{column} \begin{column}{0.4\textwidth} @@ -196,13 +196,13 @@ Provide applied economic insight to support decision-making across Wyoming. The \vfill \only<1>{ \begin{enumerate} - \item{Identify challenges to acquire nuclear sectors in Wyoming} - \item{Make reports comparable across the supply chain} - \item{Economic benefits} - \item{Costs} + \onslide<2->\item{Identify challenges to acquire nuclear sectors in Wyoming} + \onslide<3->\item{Make reports comparable across the supply chain} + \onslide<4->\item{Economic benefits} + \onslide<5->\item{Costs} \end{enumerate} } - \only<2>{ + \only<6>{ \begin{enumerate} \item{Identify challenges to acquire nuclear sectors in Wyoming} \item{Make reports comparable across the supply chain} @@ -219,10 +219,10 @@ Input output model challenges \begin{columns} \begin{column}{0.6\textwidth} \begin{enumerate} - \item<1->{Standard method across multiple firms} - \item<2->{Includes second order effects} - \item<3->{Feasible benefits estimates} - \item<4->{Environmental costs included} + \onslide<1->\item<1->{Standard method across multiple firms} + \onslide<2->\item<2->{Includes second order effects} + \onslide<3->\item<3->{Feasible benefits estimates} + \onslide<4->\item<4->{Environmental costs included} \end{enumerate} \end{column} \begin{column}{0.4\textwidth} @@ -258,53 +258,63 @@ Input output model challenges Electricity and Reactors \end{frame} \begin{frame}{Reactor Economic Modeling} -How many reactors in Wyoming? (Low,medium, high) +\onslide<1->How many reactors in Wyoming? (low, medium, high) -How should spending categories be modeled? +\onslide<2->How should spending categories be modeled? -What will be the local rate of purchases and employment? +\onslide<3->What will be the local rate of purchases and employment? \vfill \begin{columns} \begin{column}{0.5\textwidth} + +\only<4->{ \textbf{Modeling Complications} \begin{itemize} \item Uncertain growth \item Regional variation \item Developing technology \end{itemize} + } \end{column} \begin{column}{0.5\textwidth} + \only<5->{ \textbf{Modeling Advantages} \begin{itemize} \item Existing reactor plans \item Some historic data \item Available forecasts \end{itemize} + } + \end{column} \end{columns} \end{frame} - -\begin{frame}{Economic Forecast Provides Context} - \centering - \only<1>{\includegraphics[width=0.8\textwidth]{IAEA_North_America_Forecast}} - \only<2>{\includegraphics[width=\textwidth]{EIA_Forecast}} - \only<3>{\includegraphics[width=0.8\textwidth]{EIA_Additions}} -\end{frame} %%%%%%%%%%%%%% \begin{frame}{Total Wyoming Reactor Potential} \begin{itemize} - \item Meta analysis of growth rates - \item Probability of adding a reactor in any year - \item Wyoming has a probability of receiving each US reactor - \item Probability increases with time - \item Low growth 350 MW, middle 700 MW, high 1925 MW by 2050 + \onslide<1->\item Meta analysis of growth rates + \onslide<2->\item Probability of adding a reactor in any year + \onslide<3->\item Probability of Wyoming receiving any of the US reactor \end{itemize} \end{frame} + +\begin{frame}{IAEA Nuclear Capacity Forecast of North America} + \centering +\includegraphics[width=0.8\textwidth]{IAEA_North_America_Forecast} +\end{frame} +\begin{frame}{EIA AEO Nuclear Capacity Forecast of United States} +\centering + \includegraphics[width=\textwidth]{EIA_Forecast} +\end{frame} +\begin{frame}{EIA AEO Nuclear Additions by Period} +\centering + \includegraphics[width=0.8\textwidth]{EIA_Additions} +\end{frame} %%%%%%%%%%%%%% \section{Input Output of a Reactor} \begin{frame}{Input Output Model of Nuclear Growth} \vfill -\only<1>{ +\only<1-8>{ \centering \textbf{Benchmark reactor model applies NRC reported numbers} \vfill @@ -312,14 +322,15 @@ What will be the local rate of purchases and employment? \begin{column}{0.55\textwidth} \textbf{Model inputs by year} \begin{itemize} - \item Construction employment levels - \item Operating employment levels + \onslide<2->\item Construction employment levels + \onslide<3->\item Probability increases with time + \onslide<4->\item Operating employment levels \begin{itemize} - \item Apply national I-O of nuclear operations to Wyoming - \item Utilized available salary estimates + \onslide<5->\item Apply national I-O of nuclear operations to Wyoming + \onslide<6->\item Utilized available salary estimates \end{itemize} - \item Ratio of profits spent in the state adjusted - \item Manual calculation of taxes when possible + \onslide<7->\item Ratio of profits spent in the state adjusted + \onslide<8->\item Manual calculation of taxes when possible \end{itemize} \end{column} \begin{column}{0.45\textwidth} @@ -327,7 +338,7 @@ What will be the local rate of purchases and employment? \end{column} \end{columns} } -\only<2>{\includegraphics[width=\textwidth]{IMPLAN_Custom}} +\only<9>{\includegraphics[width=\textwidth]{IMPLAN_Custom}} \end{frame} %%%%%%%%%%%% \begin{frame}{Single Reactor Employment Results} @@ -338,10 +349,11 @@ What will be the local rate of purchases and employment? \begin{frame}{Single Reactor Tax Model} \centering \begin{itemize} - \item Direct taxes calculated - \item Induced taxes from I-O model + \onslide<2->\item Direct taxes calculated + \onslide<3->\item Induced taxes from I-O model + \onslide<4->\item Is your reactor state funded? No taxes, but all local spending \end{itemize} - \includegraphics[width=\textwidth]{Single_Reactor_Taxes} + \includegraphics[width=0.9\textwidth]{Single_Reactor_Taxes} \end{frame} %%%%%%%%%%%% \section{Time Considerations} @@ -349,7 +361,7 @@ What will be the local rate of purchases and employment? \includegraphics[width=\textwidth]{NPV_Table} \end{frame} \begin{frame}{Accounting for Time with Multiple Reactors} - \includegraphics[width=\textwidth]{Reactor_Probablity} + \includegraphics[width=\textwidth]{Reactor_Probability} \end{frame} \section{Model Results} \begin{frame}{Results} @@ -379,7 +391,7 @@ What will be the local rate of purchases and employment? \end{columns} \end{frame} -%%%%%%%%%%%%%5 +%%%%%%%%%%%%% %%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%% \begin{frame}[plain] \begin{center} diff --git a/Images/Reactor_Probability.png b/Images/Reactor_Probability.png new file mode 100644 index 0000000..b97c119 Binary files /dev/null and b/Images/Reactor_Probability.png differ diff --git a/Images/Reactor_Probablity.png b/Images/Reactor_Probablity.png deleted file mode 100644 index 9d18339..0000000 Binary files a/Images/Reactor_Probablity.png and /dev/null differ