346 lines
10 KiB
TeX
346 lines
10 KiB
TeX
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}
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% Title info
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\title[Wyoming Nuclear Industry]{Economic Impacts of the Nuclear Industry in Wyoming}
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\author{Alexander Gebben}
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\date{July \(\text{30}^{th}\),2026}
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\begin{document}
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\begin{frame}[plain]
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\begin{center}
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\huge\textbf{\inserttitle}\\
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\textcolor{black}{\large\insertdate}\\
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\textcolor{black}{\large\insertauthor}
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\textcolor{white}{\insertinstitute}\\
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\end{center}
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\end{frame}
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%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%
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\begin{frame}{Center for Business \& Economic Analysis}
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Provide applied economic insight to support decision-making across Wyoming. The CBEA serves as a resource for policymakers, communities, and businesses, producing accessible, nonpartisan research on the state’s most pressing issues.
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\begin{columns}
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\begin{column}{0.6\textwidth}
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\begin{itemize}
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\item Corporate, government, and academic
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\item Association for University Business and Economic Research (AUBER)
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\end{itemize}
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\textbf{Past Work}
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\begin{itemize}
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\item Over 65 projects
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\item Nuclear sector analysis
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\item IMPLAN, REMI, and econometrics
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\item Energy and policy analysis
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\end{itemize}
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\end{column}
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\begin{column}{0.4\textwidth}
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\href{https://www.uwyo.edu/cbea/index.html}{\includegraphics[width=\textwidth]{qr-code.png}}
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\end{column}
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\end{columns}
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\end{frame}
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%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%Outline
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\begin{frame}{Outline}
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\tableofcontents
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\end{frame}
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%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%
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\section{Background}
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%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%
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\begin{frame}{About Wyoming}
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\begin{itemize}
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\item{Least populated U.S. State}
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\item{Energy economy}
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\begin{enumerate}
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\item Most coal
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\item Oil and gas
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\item Wind
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\item Data centers
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\end{enumerate}
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\item{Commerical advanced reactor}
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\end{itemize}
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\end{frame}
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%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%
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\begin{frame}[c]{United States Coal Production 2001-2024}
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\centering
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\only<1>{
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\animategraphics[width=0.8\textwidth,loop=true,label=<Wyoming Coal Levels>,autoplay=true]{3}{chart}{0}{34}
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\newline
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\includegraphics[width=0.25\textwidth]{Legend}
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}
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\only<2>{
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\begin{columns}
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\begin{column}{0.5\textwidth}
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\includegraphics[width=\textwidth]{chart30}
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\end{column}
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\begin{column}{0.5\textwidth}
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\includegraphics[width=\textwidth]{chart25}
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\end{column}
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\end{columns}
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\includegraphics[width=0.25\textwidth]{Legend}
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}
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\only<3>{\includegraphics[width=\textwidth]{Time_Series}}
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\end{frame}
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%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%
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%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%
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\begin{frame}{Is Nuclear Energy the Solution?}
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\begin{columns}
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\begin{column}{0.6\textwidth}
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\begin{itemize}
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\item Fits Wyoming's energy specialization
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\item Uranium mining
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\item Manufacturing
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\item Similar economics as coal
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\end{itemize}
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\end{column}
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\begin{column}{0.4\textwidth}
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\includegraphics[width=\textwidth]{TerraPower}
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\includegraphics[width=\textwidth]{Groundbreaking}
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\end{column}
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\end{columns}
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\end{frame}
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%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%
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\begin{frame}{Center for Energy Regulation and Policy Analysis (CERPA)}
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\begin{columns}
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\begin{column}{0.155\textwidth}
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\centering
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\href{https://www.uwyo.edu/ser/_files/docs/research/publications/cerpa-nuclear3-paper.pdf}{\includegraphics[width=\textwidth]{cerpa-publications-nuclear3.png}}
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\small
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Mining
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\end{column}
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\begin{column}{0.155\textwidth}
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\href{https://www.uwyo.edu/ser/_files/docs/research/publications/cerpa-nuclear1-paper.pdf}{\includegraphics[width=\textwidth]{cerpa-publications-nuclear1.png}}
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\small \centering
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Enrichment
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\end{column}
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\begin{column}{0.155\textwidth}
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\small
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\href{https://www.uwyo.edu/ser/_files/docs/research/publications/cerpa-nuclear2-paper.pdf}{\includegraphics[width=\textwidth]{cerpa-publications-nuclear2.png}}
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\centering
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Components
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\end{column}
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\begin{column}{0.155\textwidth}
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\href{https://www.uwyo.edu/ser/_files/docs/research/publications/cerpa-nuclear4-paper.pdf}{\includegraphics[width=\textwidth]{cerpa-publications-nuclear4.png}}
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\small
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\centering
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Direct heat
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\end{column}
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\begin{column}{0.155\textwidth}
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\href{https://www.uwyo.edu/ser/_files/docs/research/publications/cerpa-nuclear6-paper.pdf}{\includegraphics[width=\textwidth]{cerpa-publications-nuclear6.png}}
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\small
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\centering
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Electricity
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\end{column}
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\begin{column}{0.155\textwidth}
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\href{https://www.uwyo.edu/ser/_files/docs/research/publications/cerpa-nuclear5-paper.pdf}{\includegraphics[width=\textwidth]{cerpa-publications-nuclear5.png}}
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\small
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\centering
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SNF storage
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\end{column}
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\end{columns}
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\vfill
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\only<1>{
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\begin{enumerate}
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\item{Identify challenges to acquire nuclear sectors in Wyoming}
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\item{Make reports comparable across the supply chain}
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\item{Economic benefits}
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\item{Costs}
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\end{enumerate}
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}
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\only<2>{
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\begin{enumerate}
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\item{Identify challenges to acquire nuclear sectors in Wyoming}
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\item{Make reports comparable across the supply chain}
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\item{\textbf{Economic benefits}}
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\item{\textbf{Costs}}
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\end{enumerate}
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}
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\end{frame}
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%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%
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\section{Economic impact model}
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\begin{frame}{Economic Impact Advantages}
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Input output model challenges
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\begin{columns}
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\begin{column}{0.6\textwidth}
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\begin{enumerate}
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\item<1->{Standard method across multiple firms}
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\item<2->{Includes second order effects}
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\item<3->{Feasible benefits estimates}
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\item<4->{Environmental costs included}
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\end{enumerate}
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\end{column}
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\begin{column}{0.4\textwidth}
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\href{https://www.uwyo.edu/cbea/index.html}{\includegraphics[width=\textwidth]{Matrix}}
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\end{column}
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\end{columns}
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\end{frame}
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%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%
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\begin{frame}{Economic Impact Choices}
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Input output model challenges
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\begin{columns}[t]
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\begin{column}{0.6\textwidth}
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\begin{enumerate}
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\item<1->{Unique industry (no state data)}
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\item<2->{New technologies}
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\item<3->{Uncertainty in growth}
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\item<5->{Economic linkages}
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\end{enumerate}
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\end{column}
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\begin{column}{0.4\textwidth}
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\only<1-2>{\includegraphics[width=\textwidth]{Chooz_Nuclear_Power_Plant-9361}}
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\only<3>{\includegraphics[width=\textwidth]{Utah_Data_Center_Panorama_(cropped)}}
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\only<4->{\includegraphics[width=\textwidth]{Nuclear_Forecast}}
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\end{column}
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\end{columns}
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\end{frame}
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\section{Electricity and Reactors}
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\begin{frame}[plain]
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\centering
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\huge
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Electricity and Reactors
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\end{frame}
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\begin{frame}{Reactor Economic Modeling}
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How many reactors in Wyoming? (Low,medium, high)
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How should spending categories be modeled?
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What will be the local rate of purchases and employment?
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\vfill
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\begin{columns}
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\begin{column}{0.5\textwidth}
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\textbf{Modeling Complications}
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\begin{itemize}
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\item Uncertain growth
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\item Regional variation
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\item Developing technology
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\end{itemize}
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\end{column}
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\begin{column}{0.5\textwidth}
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\textbf{Modeling Advantages}
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\begin{itemize}
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\item Existing reactor plans
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\item Some historic data
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\item Available forecasts
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\end{itemize}
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\end{column}
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\end{columns}
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\end{frame}
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\begin{frame}{Economic Forecast Provides Context}
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\centering
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\only<1>{\includegraphics[width=0.8\textwidth]{IAEA_North_America_Forecast}}
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\only<2>{\includegraphics[width=\textwidth]{EIA_Forecast}}
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\only<3>{\includegraphics[width=0.8\textwidth]{EIA_Additions}}
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\end{frame}
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%%%%%%%%%%%%%%
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\begin{frame}{Total Wyoming Reactor Potential}
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\begin{itemize}
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\item Meta analysis of growth rates
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\item Probability of adding a reactor in any year
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\item Wyoming has a probability of receiving each US reactor
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\item Probability increases with time
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\item Low growth 350 MW, middle 700 MW, high 1925 MW by 2050
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\end{itemize}
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\end{frame}
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%%%%%%%%%%%%%%
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\begin{frame}{Input Output Model of Nuclear Growth}
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\centering
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\textbf{Benchmark reactor model apples NRC reported numbers}
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\vfill
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\begin{columns}
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\begin{column}{0.55\textwidth}
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\textbf{Model inputs by year}
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\begin{itemize}
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\item Construction employment levels
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\item Operating employment levels
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\begin{itemize}
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\item Apply national I-O of nuclear operations to Wyoming
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\item Utilized available salary estimates
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\end{itemize}
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\item Ratio of profits spent in the state adjusted
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\item Manual calculation of taxes when possible
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\end{itemize}
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\end{column}
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\begin{column}{0.45\textwidth}
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\includegraphics[width=0.8\textwidth]{IMPLAN_Custom}
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\end{column}
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\end{columns}
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\end{frame}
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%%%%%%%%%%%%
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\begin{frame}{Single Reactor Employment Results}
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\centering
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\includegraphics[width=\textwidth]{Single_Reactor_Model}
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\end{frame}
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%%%%%%%%%%%%
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\begin{frame}{Single Reactor Tax model}
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\centering
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\begin{itemize}
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\item Direct taxes calculated
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\item Induced taxes from I-O model
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\end{itemize}
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\includegraphics[width=\textwidth]{Single_Reactor_Taxes}
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\end{frame}
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%%%%%%%%%%%%
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\begin{frame}{Accounting for Time with Single Reactor}
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\includegraphics[width=\textwidth]{NPV_Table}
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\end{frame}
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\begin{frame}{Accounting for Time with Multiple Reactors}
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\includegraphics[width=\textwidth]{Reactor_Probablity}
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\end{frame}
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%%%%%%%
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\end{document}
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