#Births,PREV_BIRTH,PREV_TWO_BIRTH,Min_Birth_Group,Year,County
	#Uncomment to test the function step by step
#REG_MODEL <- BIRTH_MOD;REG_DATA <- BIRTH_DATA;NUM_SIMS=1
BIRTH_SIM <- function(REG_MODEL,REG_DATA,NUM_SIMS=1){
	C_PREDICT <- predict(REG_MODEL,REG_DATA,interval = "prediction",level=0.95)
	PRED_MEAN <- C_PREDICT$fit
	SE_PRED <- (C_PREDICT$ci_high-C_PREDICT$ci_low)/3.92
	YEAR <- REG_DATA %>% pull(Year) %>% unique 
	BIRTHS <- round(exp(rnorm(NUM_SIMS,mean=PRED_MEAN,sd=SE_PRED)))
	MALE <- sapply(1:NUM_SIMS,function(x){ rbinom(1,BIRTHS[x],prob=0.5)})
	RES <- cbind(MALE,BIRTHS-MALE)
	rownames(RES) <-  "0"
	colnames(RES) <- c("Num_Male","Num_Female")
	#%>% as_tibble
	#colnames(RES) <- c("Num_Male","Num_Female")
	#"0"
	return(RES)
}