Added new figures
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@ -36,33 +36,22 @@
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%------------------------------------------------
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%------------------------------------------------
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\section{Introduction \& Overview}
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\section{Introduction \& Overview}
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\input{./Sections/Intro.tex}
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\input{./Sections/Intro.tex}
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\input{./Sections/Background.tex}
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\input{./Sections/Maps.tex}
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\input{./Sections/Subsidy_Chart.tex}
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\input{./Sections/Key_Questions.tex}
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\input{./Sections/Key_Questions.tex}
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\input{./Sections/Bitcoin_Incentives.tex}
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\input{./Sections/Bitcoin_Incentives.tex}
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\input{./Sections/Mining_Structure.tex}
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\input{./Sections/Mining_Structure.tex}
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\input{./Sections/Mining_Model.tex}
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\input{./Sections/Mining_Model.tex}
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\input{./Sections/Mining_elast.tex}
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\input{./Sections/Mining_elast.tex}
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\input{./Sections/Reg_elas.tex}
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\input{./Sections/Reg_elas.tex}
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\input{./Sections/Wyoming_Hookup.tex}
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\input{./Sections/Oil_Structure.tex}
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\input{./Sections/Oil_Structure.tex}
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\input{./Sections/Oil_Econometrics.tex}
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\input{./Sections/Oil_Econometrics.tex}
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\input{./Sections/Data.tex}
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\input{./Sections/Results.tex}
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\input{./Sections/Conclusion.tex}
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\section{Theory}
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\section{Theory}
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\section{History}
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%\subsection{Key Events}
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%\subsection{Subdistrict Formation}
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\section{Econometric Strategy}
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\section{Econometric Strategy}
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\section{Data}
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\section{Data}
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\section{Results}
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\input{./Sections/Bullets.tex}
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\input{./Sections/Highlight.tex}
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\input{./Sections/Columns.tex}
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%------------------------------------------------
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\input{./Sections/Table.tex}
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\input{./Sections/Theorem.tex}
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\input{./Sections/Figure.tex}
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\input{./Sections/Fragile.tex}
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\input{./Sections/bib.tex}
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\input{./Sections/End.tex}
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\end{document}
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\end{document}
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@ -1,6 +1,7 @@
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library(tidyverse)
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library(tidyverse)
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library(lubridate)
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library(lubridate)
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library(tidyquant)
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library(tidyquant)
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library(stargazer)
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BTC <- tq_get("BTC-USD")
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BTC <- tq_get("BTC-USD")
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hash <- read_csv("BCHAIN-HRATE.csv") %>% rename(date=Date,hash=Value)
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hash <- read_csv("BCHAIN-HRATE.csv") %>% rename(date=Date,hash=Value)
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@ -14,14 +15,25 @@ df$p_dif2 <- c(NA,diff(df$p))
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df$down <- ifelse(0>df$p_dif2,1,0)
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df$down <- ifelse(0>df$p_dif2,1,0)
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#lag_dis <- 30*12
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#lag_dis <- 30*12
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df <- df %>% arrange(date)
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df <- df %>% arrange(date)
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lag_dis <- 90
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lag_dis <- 30
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df$pw <- df$p-lag(df$p,lag_dis)
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df$pw <- df$p-lag(df$p,lag_dis)
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df$pw <- ifelse(df$pw==0,0.0001,df$pw)
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df$pw <- ifelse(df$pw==0,0.0001,df$pw)
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df$down <- ifelse(df$pw<0,1,0)
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df$down <- ifelse(df$pw<0,1,0)
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df$hw <- df$hash-lag(df$hash,lag_dis)
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df$hw <- df$hash-lag(df$hash,lag_dis)
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df$hw <- ifelse(df$hw==0,0.0001,df$hw)
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df$hw <- ifelse(df$hw==0,0.0001,df$hw)
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library(lubridate)
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model1 <- (lm(log(hw)~as.factor(year(date))+as.factor(month(date))+lag(log(hash),30)+log(pw),data=df))
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df$month <- as.factor((month.abb[month(df$date)]))
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df$year <- as.factor(year(df$date))
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model1 <- (lm(log(hw)~lag(hash,360)+year+month+log(pw),data=df))
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summary(model1)
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acf(model1$resid)
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pacf(model1$resid)
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model1 <- (lm(log(hw)~as.factor(year(date))+as.factor(month(date))+log(pw),data=df))
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summary(lm(hw~as.factor(year(date))+as.factor(month(date))+lag(hash,lag_dis)+log(pw),data=df))
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summary(lm(hash~as.factor(year(date))+as.factor(month(date))+(hash,lag_dis)+log(pw),data=df))
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stargazer
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summary(model1)
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rm(model1)
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model1 <- (lm(log(hw)~as.factor(year(date))+as.factor(month(date))+log(pw),data=filter(df,year(df$date)>2012)))
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model1 <- (lm(log(hw)~as.factor(year(date))+as.factor(month(date))+log(pw),data=filter(df,year(df$date)>2012)))
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summary(model1)
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summary(model1)
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pacf(model1$resid)
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pacf(model1$resid)
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@ -25,7 +25,7 @@
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\item Bitcoin miners use electricity to earn profit
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\item Bitcoin miners use electricity to earn profit
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\item No need for to ship to market
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\item No need for to ship to market
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\item Paying oil producers for waste gas
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\item Paying oil producers for waste gas
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\item Contracts are about \(\frac{1}{3}\) whole sale price
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\item Contracts are about \(\frac{1}{3}\) wholesale price
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\end{itemize}
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\end{itemize}
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\column{.5\textwidth} % Right column and width
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\column{.5\textwidth} % Right column and width
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@ -45,10 +45,10 @@
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\begin{itemize}
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\begin{itemize}
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\item Increasing flaring rates
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\item Increasing flaring rates
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\item Regulatory concerns about emissions
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\item Regulatory concerns about emissions
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\item Most Bitcoin miner friendlily regulations in the US
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\item Most Bitcoin miner friendly regulations in the US
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\item Cyclical low temperatures
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\item Cyclical low temperatures
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\item On grid prices
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\item On grid prices
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\item Major basins with diffrent GOR
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\item Major basins with different GOR
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\end{itemize}
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\end{itemize}
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\column{.5\textwidth} % Right column and width
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\column{.5\textwidth} % Right column and width
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5
Bitcoin/Sections/Conclusion.tex
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5
Bitcoin/Sections/Conclusion.tex
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%------------------------------------------------
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\begin{frame}{Conclusion}
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Stand in
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\end{frame}
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5
Bitcoin/Sections/Data.tex
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5
Bitcoin/Sections/Data.tex
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%------------------------------------------------
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\begin{frame}{Data}
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Stand in
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\end{frame}
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19
Bitcoin/Sections/Maps.tex
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19
Bitcoin/Sections/Maps.tex
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%------------------------------------------------
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\begin{frame}{Realignment of Well Location}
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\begin{columns}[c] % The "c" option specifies centered vertical alignment while the "t" option is used for top vertical alignment
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\column{.5\textwidth}
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\begin{center}
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\textbf{Wells Drilled Since 2013}
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\end{center}
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\includegraphics[width=\textwidth,height=0.8\paperheight,keepaspectratio]{./img/wells.jpeg}
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\column{.5\textwidth}
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\begin{center}
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\textbf{Subsidy Distribution in 2021}
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\end{center}
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\includegraphics[width=\textwidth,height=0.8\paperheight,keepaspectratio]{./img/subsidy.jpeg}
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\end{columns}
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\end{frame}
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Q_{O,b,t}=\beta_{1} Q_{O,b,t-1}+\beta_{2} P_{WTI,t-1}+\beta_{3} P_{HH,t-1}+\beta_{4}\theta_{t}+\gamma_{t,b}+\epsilon_{b,t}
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Q_{O,b,t}=\beta_{1} Q_{O,b,t-1}+\beta_{2} P_{WTI,t-1}+\beta_{3} P_{HH,t-1}+\beta_{4}\theta_{t}+\gamma_{t,b}+\epsilon_{b,t}
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\end{equation}
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\end{equation}
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\end{block}
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\end{block}
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Where \(Q_{O,b,t}\) the net present oil produced in a basin state pair b, at time t, \(P_{WTI}\) is the West Texas International futures price, \(P_{HH}\) is the futures price of the Henery Hub spot market,\(\theta_{t}\) is a month dummy ,and \(\gamma_{b,t}\) is a variable that represents the amount of monitray damage from natural disasters.
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Where \(Q_{O,b,t}\) the net present oil produced in a basin state pair b, at time t, \(P_{WTI}\) is the West Texas International futures price, \(P_{HH}\) is the futures price of the Henery Hub spot market,\(\theta_{t}\) is a month dummy ,and \(\gamma_{b,t}\) is a variable that represents the amount of monitary damage from natural disasters.
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2SLS is used, with insturments of
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\textbf{2SLS is used, with instruments of :}
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\begin{enumerate}
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\begin{enumerate}
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\item{VAR model residuals of oil refinery volumes, and gas storage}
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\item{VAR model residuals of oil refinery volumes, and gas storage}
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\item{Regional population weighted cooling and heating degree days}
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\item{Regional population weighted cooling and heating degree days}
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@ -12,5 +12,5 @@ Where \(P{t} \) is price of the oil (o) or gas (g) at time t, \(q_{t}\) is the
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\end{block}
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\end{block}
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Allowing a Bitcoin miner to purchase gas is equivalent to subsidy to oil production.
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Allowing a Bitcoin miner to purchase gas is equivalent to subsidy to oil production.
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The size of the subisdy depends on the path of the GOR, the discount rate, decline rate of the well , and the max willingness to pay for gas of Bitcoin miners.
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The size of the subsidy depends on the path of the GOR, the discount rate, decline rate of the well , and the max willingness to pay for gas of Bitcoin miners.
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\end{frame}
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\end{frame}
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5
Bitcoin/Sections/Results.tex
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5
Bitcoin/Sections/Results.tex
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%------------------------------------------------
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\begin{frame}{Results}
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Stand in
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\end{frame}
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8
Bitcoin/Sections/Subsidy_Chart.tex
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Bitcoin/Sections/Subsidy_Chart.tex
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%------------------------------------------------
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\begin{frame}[plain]{Increasing Relevance to Wyoming Oil and Gas Production}
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\begin{center}
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\includegraphics[width=\textwidth,height=0.80\textheight,keepaspectratio]{./img/Subsidy_Bar_Chart.jpeg}
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\footnotetext{Assumes market price is \$1.5 per MCF}
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\end{center}
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\end{frame}
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%------------------------------------------------
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%------------------------------------------------
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\begin{frame}{Selling Dissociated Gas is Becoming More Relevant}
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\begin{frame}{Realignment of Well Location}
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\begin{columns}[c] % The "c" option specifies centered vertical alignment while the "t" option is used for top vertical alignment
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\column{.5\textwidth}
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\begin{center}
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\begin{center}
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\includegraphics[width=\paperwidth,height=0.8\paperheight,keepaspectratio]{./img/Gas_Hookups.png}
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\textbf{Wells Drilled Since 2013}
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\end{center}
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\includegraphics[width=\textwidth,height=0.8\paperheight,keepaspectratio]{./img/wells.jpeg}
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\column{.5\textwidth}
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\begin{center}
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\textbf{Subsidy Distribution in 2021}
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\end{center}
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\end{center}
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\includegraphics[width=\textwidth,height=0.8\paperheight,keepaspectratio]{./img/subsidy.jpeg}
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\end{columns}
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\end{frame}
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\end{frame}
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Bitcoin/img/Subsidy_Bar_Chart.jpeg
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Bitcoin/img/Subsidy_Bar_Chart.jpeg
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After Width: | Height: | Size: 948 KiB |
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Bitcoin/img/subsidy.jpeg
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Bitcoin/img/subsidy.jpeg
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After Width: | Height: | Size: 964 KiB |
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Bitcoin/img/wells.jpeg
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Bitcoin/img/wells.jpeg
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After Width: | Height: | Size: 976 KiB |
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